Published November 1, 2026 in Market Update

More listings are showing up in SW Suburbs, but supply is still tight

By Sally Scrimgeour
Real estate, SW Suburbs

Here is the one thing that changes what you should do right now. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 932 new listings across SW Suburbs in the three months ending August 31, 2026. That is up 13% from the same months of 2025. More sellers are moving. For buyers, that means a few more fresh choices. For sellers, it means new competition is rising.

Rise in new SW Suburbs listings, three months ending August 31, 2026
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

But here is the honest part. More listings came on, and supply still did not open up. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted only 572 homes for sale across SW Suburbs in that same period. That is down 3.9% from a year before. Nationally, Realtor.com reported active listings topped 1.16 million in September 2026. SW Suburbs is moving in the same direction, just slowly.

Homes sold rose too. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 836 sales across SW Suburbs in the three months ending August 31, 2026. That is up 4.8% from a year ago. Pending sales reached 768, up 5.1%. Buyers are showing up when good homes appear.

SW Suburbs at a glance, three months ending August 31, 2026
Homes sold
Up 4.8% from 2025
New listings
Up 13% from 2025
Homes for sale
Down 3.9% from 2025
Pending sales
Up 5.1% from 2025
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

What each ZIP code looked like

The picture is not the same in every town. Some ZIPs tightened further. Others loosened a little. Here is what the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted for each one in the three months ending August 31, 2026.

ZIP by ZIP snapshot, three months ending August 31, 2026
Chanhassen 55317Eden Prairie 55347Excelsior 55331Chaska 55318
Median sale price$625,500$555,000$882,500$587,500
Price change vs. 2025+13.5%+4.7%+8%+21.8%
Homes for sale change-23.8%-16.2%-17.1%-24.1%
Median days on market21202232
Sale to list price99.3%100.3%99.5%99.7%
Real Estate Data Aggregator. These four ZIPs all saw inventory fall further from 2025.
ZIP by ZIP snapshot, three months ending August 31, 2026
Eden Prairie 55346Waconia 55387Carver 55315Victoria 55386
Median sale price$490,000$485,000$525,752$580,561
Price change vs. 2025+6.5%-1.5%-2.5%-14%
Homes for sale change+83.3%+40.6%+62.5%-10%
Median days on market21333923
Sale to list price100.2%99.2%99.2%100.3%
Real Estate Data Aggregator. Eden Prairie 55346, Waconia and Carver all saw inventory rise, giving buyers more to look at in those towns.

Where supply grew and where it shrank

Eden Prairie 55346 stood out. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted homes for sale there up 83.3% from a year ago. New listings rose 67.9%. Months of supply moved up 1 month. That is real breathing room for buyers in that ZIP. Waconia and Carver also saw inventory climb.

Chanhassen, Chaska and Excelsior moved the other way. The Real Estate Data Aggregator showed homes for sale in Chanhassen down 23.8%, in Chaska down 24.1% and in Excelsior down 17.1%. Months of supply in Chanhassen reached only 1.2 months. That is very tight.

Months of supply by ZIP, three months ending August 31, 2026
  1. 1Carver 553153.9 months
  2. 2Waconia 553872.6 months
  3. 3Chaska 553182.2 months
  4. 4Excelsior 553312.2 months
  5. 5Eden Prairie 553462.1 months
  6. 6Victoria 553862 months
  7. 7Eden Prairie 553471.9 months
  8. 8Chanhassen 553171.2 months
Real Estate Data Aggregator. Higher months of supply gives buyers more time and choice. Below 3 months still favors sellers.

How fast are homes moving?

Speed stayed strong in most ZIPs. The Real Estate Data Aggregator found that in Eden Prairie 55347, more than half of homes went under contract within two weeks of listing. That share was 52.4%, up 14.5 points from a year ago. Eden Prairie 55346 was at 50.7% and Chanhassen at 50%. In Carver, only 24.2% went that fast, down 9.1 points.

Share of homes under contract within two weeks, three months ending August 31, 2026
Eden Prairie 5534752.4%Eden Prairie 5534650.7%Chanhassen 5531750%Victoria 5538649%Chaska 5531842.2%Waconia 5538741.1%Excelsior 5533137.6%Carver 5531524.2%
Real Estate Data Aggregator. Most ZIPs saw this share rise from 2025, a sign that well-priced homes still move quickly.
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

What about prices and the wider picture?

Prices moved in different directions across these ZIPs. Chaska saw the biggest gain. The Real Estate Data Aggregator put the median sale price there at $587,500, up 21.8% from a year ago. Victoria dipped the most, with a median of $580,561, down 14%. Not every price moved the same way, even in the same market.

Nationally, the Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. house prices rose 2.4% from August 2025 to August 2026. The monthly move was 0.3% in August, seasonally adjusted. SW Suburbs ZIPs that gained were well above that national pace. The ones that dipped were moving against it.

Realtor.com also reported that mortgage rates climbed above 7% for the first time since January 2025. That matters for buyers doing the math on monthly payments. It also matters for sellers thinking about who can afford to move.

In short
  1. SW Suburbs saw 932 new listings in the three months ending August 31, 2026, up 13% from 2025. But with only 572 homes for sale, down 3.9%, supply is still tight.
  2. Most homes are selling close to or above list price.
  3. Speed is high in Eden Prairie and Chanhassen.
  4. Carver and Waconia have more breathing room.
  5. One street can read very differently from the whole ZIP code.

Your next step

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Where these numbers came from
Sally Scrimgeour
eXp Realty · (952) 200-9461
Privacy policyTerms of useDo not sell or share my informationAccessibility statementFair housing notice
Sally Scrimgeour is a licensed real estate agent with eXp Realty. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
© 2026 Sally Scrimgeour · eXp RealtyEQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY